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2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 88.9% 11.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 72.3% 27.7% -5.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Log Adjusted 88.8% 11.2% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +13 (58-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Ebrahimian 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Franklin * 35 3-14 1-6 6-7 4 3 2 0 4 13 4 -
C. Tapley * 35 4-12 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 1 -
W. Shepard * 27 4-12 0-2 2-3 6 0 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Stephens * 26 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 1 0 7 11 -
J.J. O'Brien * 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
J. Rahon 26 0-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -6 -
S. Spencer 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
D. Polee II 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nance Jr. * 38 4-8 1-2 2-2 12 1 1 1 2 11 16 -
L. Washington * 37 5-11 0-3 4-6 14 1 5 2 2 14 23 -
R. Grabau * 37 1-4 1-4 0-2 1 3 0 0 3 3 0 -
D. Gilmore * 37 2-8 2-5 7-10 1 2 1 0 6 13 3 -
J. Adams * 34 4-9 0-2 4-5 0 2 1 0 2 12 4 -
N. Sobey 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
D. Cooke Jr. 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter