Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +6 (69-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Griffin * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Reggie Arceneaux * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +12.4 |
| Cole Darling * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +7.5 |
| Tavares Sledge * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -15.6 |
| Matt Vest * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Miles Dixon | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Joe Bramanti | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +7.6 |
| AJ Pacher | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +12.9 |
| Jerran Young | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | +9.1 |
| JT Yoho | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Buggs * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | +9.3 |
| Matt Kenney * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +2.9 |
| Will Bogan * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +7.3 |
| Kevin Van Wijk * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | +11.9 |
| LaVonte Dority | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -13.3 |
| Ben Boggs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.1 |
| Jordan Coleman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.9 |
| Bobby Capobianco | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11.1 |
| Vashil Fernandez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter