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Texas State Bobcats 81
@
UTSA Roadrunners 78
2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% +4.9 ✗ (7.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 ✗ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - ✗

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -3 (78-81). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Stern * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 1 2 18 31 -
Wesley Davis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 10 17 -
Matt Staff * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 4 3 0 5 -
Vonn Jones * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 1 4 -
Phil Hawkins 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 13 22 -
Reid Koenen 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 23 22 -
Joel Wright 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 16 21 -
Deonte' Jones 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Basil Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ray Dorsey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Hale III * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 0 3 31 42 -
Kannon Burrage * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 27 33 -
Jordan Sims * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 9 17 -
Hyjii Thomas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 1 4 -
Larry Wilkins * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
Edrico McGregor 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 2 8 16 -
Tyler Wood 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter