Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +20 (79-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darien Nelson-Henry * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Miles Jackson-Cartwright * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -11.0 |
| Jamal Lewis * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Steve Rennard * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Henry Brooks * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Greg Louis | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -12.3 |
| Tony Hicks | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Camryn Crocker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Patrick Lucas-Perry | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Dau Jok | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Cameron Gunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Galloway * | 34 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 22 | +7.8 |
| Carl Jones * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Ronald Roberts Jr. * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | +13.5 |
| C.J. Aiken * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +17.4 |
| Chris Wilson * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Daryus Quarles | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Papa Ndao | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -13.2 |
| Evan Maschmeyer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Isaiah Miles | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Taylor Trevisan | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Christopher Coyne | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Kindler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Colin Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
* = starter