Model Predictions
| Model | Sacred Heart Pioneers | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -3 (72-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacred Heart Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Gaetano | 37 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Louis Montes | 36 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Steve Glowiak | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Shane Gibson | 31 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Nick Greenbacker | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -2.3 |
| De'Aires Tate | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Mostafa Abdel Latif | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Tevin Falzon | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Lewis Cramer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Brown | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -13.2 |
| Ben Millaud-Meunier | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -5.5 |
| Dominique Major | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Stephon Mosley | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Greg Brown | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Ronnie Drinnon | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -4.3 |
| Stephon Whyatt | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 | -9.3 |
| Ollie Jackson | 15 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Anthony Ervin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.9 |
* = starter