Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -7 (76-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Cowels III * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Marc Trasolini * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Kevin Foster * | 31 | 11-17 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Evan Roquemore * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6.8 |
| Robert Garrett * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
| John McArthur | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Yannick Atanga | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Brandon Clark | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -10.0 |
| Julian Clarke | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Niyi Harrison | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.9 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorne Jackson * | 37 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 17 | +6.8 |
| Stacy Davis * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Baker * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +8.8 |
| Jett Raines * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Nikolas Skouen * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Atif Russell | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Moriba De Freitas | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +10.8 |
| Austin Mills | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +5.8 |
* = starter