Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota Coyotes | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -19 (78-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Dakota Coyotes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bos * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +23.9 |
| Casey Kasperbauer * | 30 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | +19.5 |
| Juevol Myles * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Trevor Gruis * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +26.7 |
| Tyler Flack * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Karim Rowson | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Jordan Boots | 20 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +19.6 |
| Steve Tecker | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Eric Robertson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -6.8 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Valentine * | 37 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | -15.1 |
| Travis Bader * | 37 | 7-18 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Duke Mondy * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | -25.0 |
| Corey Petros * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -16.0 |
| Ryan Bass * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -4 | -3.5 |
| Dante Williams | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Matt Poches | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Raphael Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -14.1 |
| Lloyd Neely II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Mitch Baenziger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
* = starter