Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +7 (75-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Murray * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Taariq Cephas * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Zach Burnham * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -2.3 |
| Andre Armstrong * | 26 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Darryln Johnson * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Sterling Smith | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Patrick Cole | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Charles Ieans | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Niwayo Adjei | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Johnson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -8.9 |
| Pendarvis Williams * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Malcolm Hawkins * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 9-13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -1.9 |
| Jamel Fuentes * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +10.6 |
| Brandon Goode * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +0.8 |
| Riley Maye | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +10.2 |
| Kris Brown | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +4.4 |
| Quasim Pugh | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Marese Phelps | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Kievyn Lila-St. Rose | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Weathers | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -7.2 |
| A.J. Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter