Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +22 (82-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Long * | 38 | 7-21 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Elfrid Payton * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Steven Wronkoski * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Elridge Moore * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -16.1 |
| Kasey Shepherd * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.7 |
| Alan-Michael Thompson | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -9.3 |
| Josh Soto | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Braylon Lazare | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Aaron LeBlanc | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Cornell Barnett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.4 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Hammonds II * | 27 | 10-11 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | +4.1 |
| Marcos Knight * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Neiko Hunter * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Bruce Massey * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +6.5 |
| JT Sulton * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Raymond Cintron | 21 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Shawn Jones | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +13.5 |
| Tweety Knight | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Jason Jones | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +4.7 |
| James Gallman | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Torin Walker | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Zane Gibson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Finoy Perkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gavin Gibson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter