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Model Predictions

Model Saint Peter's Peacocks Marist Red Foxes Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Margin 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Marist Red Foxes +11 (59-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Saint Peter's Peacocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Darius Conley 37 6-14 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 2 3 16 10 -15.0
Yvon Raymond 36 2-10 0-3 6-9 5 3 5 2 3 10 12 -9.1
Blaise Ffrench 34 2-7 0-1 2-6 2 2 1 0 2 6 2 -10.1
Desi Washington 25 3-12 2-8 0-0 2 1 3 0 3 8 -1 -6.4
Chris Burke 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 0 3 -9.8
Chris Prescott 21 0-6 0-4 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -2.3
Karee Ferguson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -7.5
Chazz Patterson 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +0.9
Markese Tucker 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +4.0

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Isaiah Morton 40 3-3 3-3 1-4 7 3 0 0 5 10 12 +7.0
Chavaughn Lewis 39 9-21 0-1 1-4 9 4 5 0 3 19 13 +12.2
Adam Kemp 39 4-9 0-0 0-2 18 1 1 2 4 8 17 +13.9
Phillip Lawrence-Ricks 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 +5.6
Anell Alexis 24 4-8 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 2 9 5 +4.8
Manny Thomas 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 5 4 -0.5
T.J. Curry 15 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 2 4 3 +2.5
Pieter Prinsloo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.2

* = starter