Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +11 (57-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taran Buie * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Stevie Mejia * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -2.9 |
| David Imes * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Jordan Allen * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Moussa Kone | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Darren Payen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Daquan Brown | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Matt Grogan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Wright * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Johnny Williams * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Erik Copes * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Corey Edwards * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -4.5 |
| Anali Okoloji * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Bryon Allen | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +7.4 |
| Marko Gujanicic | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Jonathan Arledge | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +5.6 |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.6 |
| Patrick Holloway | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.2 |
| Vaughn Gray | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Paris Bennett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter