Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -10 (71-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keala King * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +8.0 |
| Michael Caffey * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | +2.4 |
| James Ennis III * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 24 | +10.5 |
| Tony Freeland * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| Kyle Richardson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Deng Deng | 26 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Peter Pappageorge | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Kris Gulley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Nick Shepherd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Seeley * | 38 | 7-22 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -16.3 |
| Sammy Yeager * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | -7.5 |
| Alex Harris * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -16.8 |
| Kwame Vaughn * | 29 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Deuce Johnson * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Jared Brandon | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -8.6 |
| James Douglas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.5 |
* = starter