Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -2 (59-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Hardwick * | 45 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Williams * | 41 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Tony Mitchell * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 6-11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Roger Franklin * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Justin Patton | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Keith Coleman | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Mitchell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Gantt * | 44 | 6-17 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Stefan Moody * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Pablo Bertone * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan McCoy * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Penn * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackson Trapp | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Andre Mattison | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dragan Sekelja | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Bryant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter