Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +2 (71-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vander Blue * | 39 | 6-19 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Trent Lockett * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Junior Cadougan * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Chris Otule * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Juan Anderson * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Todd Mayo | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Davante Gardner | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jamil Wilson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Wilson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Steve Taylor Jr. | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jake Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 41 | 11-23 | 5-14 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 16 | - |
| JaQuon Parker * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Titus Rubles * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Cheikh Mbodj * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| David Nyarsuk | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shaq Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelvin Gaines | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter