Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -5 (75-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Shivaughn Wiggins * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rashad Whack * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Danaher * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Kelvin Parker | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sam Prescott | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Raven Barber | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Vinales * | 40 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm McMillan * | 38 | 8-12 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Peel * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Adonis Burbage * | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Matt Hunter * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Terrell Allen | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joe Efese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Hurd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter