Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins +32 (76-44). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.D. Anosike * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -21.1 |
| Rich Audu * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -4 | -18.4 |
| Evan Hymes * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | -15.2 |
| Imoh Silas * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -13.2 |
| Rakeem Brookins * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -15.2 |
| Brett Bisping | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Chris Leppanen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
| Davis Martens | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Steven Cruz | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Marcus Hopper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Washington * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | +15.5 |
| Jordan Heath * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | +9.5 |
| Billy Baron * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +19.1 |
| Chris Manhertz * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +1.8 |
| Isaac Sosa * | 18 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +18.5 |
| Alshwan Hymes | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Josiah Heath | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +15.3 |
| Reggie Groves | 15 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Freddy Asprilla | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.3 |
| Tyrel Edwards | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -0.5 |
* = starter