Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 22 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sam Dower | 24 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| David Stockton | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Guy Edi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Drew Barham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kampen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen Dunham * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Smith * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Alex Barlow * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Khyle Marshall * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Chase Stigall | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Erik Fromm | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Kameron Woods | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andy Smeathers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter