Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +3 (66-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Strong | 39 | 5-17 | 4-14 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ray Penn | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazabian Jackson | 40 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Tevin Hammond | 34 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Broughton | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Davon Haynes | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Terrell Kennedy | 27 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marcel Mosley | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mitchell Anderson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Warren Boyd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylon Floyd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trent Whiting | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter