Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Watkins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 38 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Joe Hanstad * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mikey Thompson | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Jake Ness | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 47 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Green | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Max Yon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter