Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +19 (73-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Watson * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nate Snodgrass * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Faulkner * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Jackson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler White * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Eshaunte Jones | 36 | 6-18 | 5-14 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Todd Johnson | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jack Flournoy | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Monaco | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| John Staley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherwood Brown * | 29 | 11-17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Chase Fieler * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Brett Comer * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bernard Thompson * | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Eric McKnight * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Christophe Varidel | 21 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dajuan Graf | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Filip Cvjeticanin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Murray | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alexander Blessig | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leonard Livingston | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter