Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders -9 (67-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Jarvis Garner * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Robert Crawford * | 28 | 5-16 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9.4 |
| Daouda Berete * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Anthony Borden * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +3.4 |
| DeShone McClure | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Jordan Harks | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -8.0 |
| Ryan Williams | 12 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Lenell Brown | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Oliver Wells | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Tirrell Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.4 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Jordan * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Will Nelson * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Hameed Ali * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | -14.9 |
| Joy Williamson * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Dale Francis * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Nate Maxey | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1.3 |
| Brandon Pye | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +6.8 |
| James King | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Zane Knowles | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
* = starter