Model Predictions
| Model | Binghamton Bearcats | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -1 (56-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Binghamton Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Gray * | 38 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Jordan Reed * | 36 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Mike Horn * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Taylor Johnston * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Alex Ogundadegbe * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Javon Ralling | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Roland Brown | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Karon Waller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Chris Rice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Brian Freeman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Jabrille Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Allison * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +7.5 |
| Justin Edwards * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +11.9 |
| Jon Mesghna * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -3 | -3.9 |
| Xavier Pollard * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | +13.3 |
| Alasdair Fraser * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -6.6 |
| Till Gloger | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Zarko Valjarevic | 11 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -9.0 |
| Shaun Lawton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -16.0 |
* = starter