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Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Margin 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -9 (62-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jamal Branch * 38 9-14 0-0 0-1 2 3 4 0 2 18 11 +1.1
D'Angelo Harrison * 38 4-12 0-3 7-9 8 2 3 0 1 15 15 +7.5
Sir'Dominic Pointer * 38 5-6 0-0 4-4 11 2 3 1 6 14 19 +4.6
JaKarr Sampson * 26 4-11 0-0 2-5 5 0 1 1 2 10 4 +3.0
Phil Greene IV * 13 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -3 -3.5
Chris Obekpa 24 3-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 3 2 6 11 -0.2
Amir Garrett 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 2 -5.8
Christian Jones 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.2
Felix Balamou 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Cleveland Melvin * 36 7-18 0-2 2-4 8 1 2 1 3 16 7 +4.7
Jamee Crockett * 33 7-16 2-7 3-3 4 3 4 0 3 19 11 +3.4
Brandon Young * 28 2-11 0-5 2-2 10 3 2 0 7 6 3 -4.2
Donnavan Kirk * 27 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 +7.4
Charles McKinney * 19 1-8 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 1 -9.5
Moses Morgan 20 3-9 3-7 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 9 2 +6.2
Derrell Robertson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -6.3
Durrell McDonald 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 +9.9
Worrel Clahar 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -9.9

* = starter