Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Milwaukee Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Panthers -3 (72-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Perry * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -5.1 |
| DJ Cole * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -15.1 |
| Blake Allen * | 36 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -13.3 |
| Kamren Belin * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -3.1 |
| Damian Eargle * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Bobby Hain | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Shawn Amiker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Josh Chojnacki | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.4 |
Milwaukee Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Gulley * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +6.0 |
| J.J. Panoske * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Demetrius Harris * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| James Haarsma * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Jordan Aaron | 40 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +5.8 |
| Austin Arians | 25 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Ryan Haggerty | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +9.1 |
* = starter