Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +17 (74-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Dee * | 33 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Christopher Anderson * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Ken Rancifer * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Chris Manresa * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Simi Fajemisin * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jito Kok | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mike Davis | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Miles | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Sinis | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dennis Kramer | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keith Stackhouse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Guidry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Haws * | 34 | 8-20 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carlino * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brock Zylstra * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Davies * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Josh Sharp * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nate Austin | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Craig Cusick | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Anson Winder | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bronson Kaufusi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Agustin Ambrosino | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cory Calvert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Harward | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Raul Delgado | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter