Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -13 (64-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hill | 35 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +17.8 |
| Kyle Barone | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 27 | +19.2 |
| Stephen Madison | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +19.5 |
| Robert Harris Jr. | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mike McChristian | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +10.5 |
| Mansa Habeeb | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Denzel Douglas | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Joe Kammerer | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Wendell Faines | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Matt Borton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Butler | 35 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | -11.8 |
| Karol Gruszecki | 28 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | -18.0 |
| Jordan Reves | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -19.5 |
| Brandon Edwards | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -15.7 |
| Jamel Outler | 22 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -8.8 |
| Cameron Catlett | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -20.1 |
| Shaquille White-Miller | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Greg Gainey | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Drew Charles | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter