Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -4 (75-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 43 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 42 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | +8.7 |
| Calvin Newell * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Daiquan Walker * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.9 |
| Kasey Wilson | 27 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Matt Williams Jr. | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Staphon Blair | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danuel House Jr. * | 41 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +2.6 |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Joe Young * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +0.3 |
| J.J. Thompson * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Leon Gibson * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +10.8 |
| Tione Womack | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -4.8 |
| J.J. Richardson | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Mikhail McLean | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.7 |
* = starter