Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -9 (81-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Sumler * | 39 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 22 | +4.1 |
| Tawaski King * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Tom Tankelewicz * | 33 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +8.5 |
| James Sinclair * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | +11.7 |
| Brandon Boggs * | 29 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +7.1 |
| Preston Ross | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Mike Brown | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Kenneth Hall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Rhett Harrelson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
| Josh Mendenhall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gee McGhee * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -3.9 |
| Ronrico White * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -9.9 |
| Z. Mason * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | -10.1 |
| Drazen Zlovaric * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -15.4 |
| Farad Cobb * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Dontay Hampton | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -7.6 |
| Sam Watson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Martynas Bareika | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Lance Stokes | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Jared Bryant | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Eric Robertson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
* = starter