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2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% - โœ—
Margin 66.4% 33.6% -3.7 โœ— (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armani Cotton * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 2 4 14 -
Austin Morgan * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
Michael Grace * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 8 8 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 6 12 -
Justin Sears * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 7 -
Greg Kelley 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 16 -
Matt Townsend 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nick Victor 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 0 3 6 -
Javier Duren 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
Sam Martin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 20 31 -
Matt Sullivan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 13 17 -
Tucker Halpern * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 0 7 -
Cedric Kuakumensah * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 7 14 -
Rafael Maia * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 10 14 -
Tyler Ponticelli 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 9 -
Stephen Albrecht 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
Joe Sharkey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jon Schmidt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter