Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (62-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez Wells * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Alex Len * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -13.5 |
| Seth Allen * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -12.3 |
| Nick Faust * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -1.2 |
| Shaquille Cleare * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Charles Mitchell | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Jake Layman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Pe'Shon Howard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -4 | -11.5 |
| Logan Aronhalt | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
| James Padgett | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.1 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +17.3 |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +13.9 |
| Marcus Paige * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Dexter Strickland * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Desmond Hubert * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +15.8 |
| P.J. Hairston | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +8.8 |
| Joel James | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +1.3 |
| J.P. Tokoto | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Brice Johnson | 8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Jackson Simmons | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
* = starter