Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +5 (76-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Egwuonwu * | 41 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Christian Moon * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Colbert * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Xavier Blount * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Flavien Davis | 31 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +11.9 |
| Calen Coleman | 31 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Antonio Biglow | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Michael Dison | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Eric Norman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Blake Brumwell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Jeff Budinich | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Jamar * | 45 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 25 | -5.2 |
| Mathias Ward * | 44 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -9.6 |
| Will Cherry * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 7-13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -5.8 |
| Jordan Gregory * | 27 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -9.7 |
| Spencer Coleman | 35 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Keron Deshields | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -6.6 |
| Michael Weisner | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +8.3 |
| Eric Hutchison | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Kevin Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Andy Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
* = starter