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Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Margin 35.2% 64.8% - โœ—
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% - โœ—

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -5 (54-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Will Neighbour * 37 2-7 1-2 4-4 3 0 3 1 1 9 8 -
Leroy Isler * 28 5-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
Michael Javes * 27 4-11 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 2 2 8 3 -
Taggart Lockhart * 23 0-4 0-3 2-4 3 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Josh Hagins 36 6-9 2-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 14 15 -
Kemy Osse 18 3-7 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
Stetson Billings 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James White 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -1 -
Gus Leeper 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Ben Dillard 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Brandon Harris * 38 7-17 6-11 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 22 12 -
George Fant * 31 3-6 0-0 7-10 7 1 2 0 2 13 15 -
Aleksej Rostov * 26 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
O'Karo Akamune * 24 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 4 6 6 -
T.J. Price * 21 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
Teeng Akol 20 1-7 0-3 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Caden Dickerson 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Percy Blade 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
Marcus Vasquez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kene Anyigbo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter