Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +3 (69-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Carter * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Myles Mack * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Jerome Seagears * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +10.8 |
| Dane Miller * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -8.2 |
| Wally Judge * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +1.8 |
| Kadeem Jack | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +5.3 |
| Mike Poole | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Austin Johnson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Derrick Randall | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Atkins * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Jerian Grant * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Pat Connaughton * | 34 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +0.8 |
| Jack Cooley * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | -2.4 |
| Scott Martin * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Cameron Biedscheid | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -3.4 |
| Tom Knight | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.7 |
* = starter