Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -11 (82-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Mancasola * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Corey Hawkins * | 37 | 10-14 | 8-9 | 12-12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 36 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Les | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Olivier-Paul Betu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Standhardinger * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Jawato * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Valdélicio Joaquim * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Fotu * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ozren Pavlovic * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Spearman | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jace Tavita | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Manroop Clair | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Jefferson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Davis Rozitis | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Harper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter