Model Predictions
| Model | Georgetown Hoyas | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +3 (61-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Starks * | 37 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Nate Lubick * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | -8.5 |
| Jabril Trawick * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Mikael Hopkins * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -11.6 |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera | 31 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +2.3 |
| Aaron Bowen | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Moses Abraham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Rudd * | 36 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +13.9 |
| Anthony Collins * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +15.7 |
| Jawanza Poland * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +6.2 |
| Martino Brock * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Javontae Hawkins | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +7.1 |
| Kore White | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Zach LeDay | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
* = starter