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2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.6% 20.4% - โœ“
Margin 86.6% 13.4% -10.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -22 (53-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Archie Goodwin * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 2 12 21 -
Ryan Harrow * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 1 0 5 12 21 -
Julius Mays * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 12 -
Alex Poythress * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 12 17 -
Nerlens Noel * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 7 2 10 24 -
Kyle Wiltjer 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 17 25 -
Jarrod Polson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
Jon Hood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Payne * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 11 16 -
Frankie Sullivan * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 12 17 -
Josh Wallace * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
Rob Chubb * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 14 18 -
Noel Johnson * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Asauhn Dixon-Tatum 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 10 15 -
Brian Greene 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 2 8 -
Shaquille Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
Chris Denson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 6 -
Jordan Price 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter