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2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -22 (53-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goodwin * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 2 12 21 -
R. Harrow * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 1 0 5 12 21 -
J. Mays * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 12 -
A. Poythress * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 12 17 -
N. Noel * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 7 2 10 24 -
K. Wiltjer 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 17 25 -
J. Polson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
J. Hood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Payne * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 11 16 -
F. Sullivan * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 12 17 -
J. Wallace * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
R. Chubb * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 14 18 -
N. Johnson * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Dixon-Tatum 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 10 15 -
B. Greene Jr. 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 2 8 -
S. Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
C. Denson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 6 -
J. Price 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter