Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Egwu | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| T. McCall | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Crosby | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Franklin | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Wolfe | 0 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. McDaniel | 0 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Rountree | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
* = starter