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2013-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Elmblad 0 3-5 0-2 2-2 9 3 1 0 3 8 13 -
R. Sheffer 0 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 4 -4 -
N. Jordan 0 3-6 0-0 6-6 8 0 2 0 1 12 15 -
K. Thompson 0 7-14 7-10 2-2 3 1 1 2 0 23 16 -
J. Ryan 0 3-10 0-4 0-1 5 7 1 0 2 6 7 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Diamant 0 3-10 2-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
K. Hackney 0 8-14 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 18 6 -
L. Douglas 0 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 1 -
M. Lyon 0 3-15 2-9 0-0 1 6 2 0 1 8 1 -
K. Roser 0 5-9 0-0 2-2 4 6 3 0 2 12 14 -

* = starter