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2013-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarmal Reid * 34 2-5 0-0 1-3 3 1 1 0 2 5 3 -
Joe Burton * 31 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 4 1 0 4 12 13 -
Roberto Nelson * 27 7-14 2-3 1-3 3 1 1 2 2 17 8 -
Devon Collier * 25 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 2 5 9 9 -
Ahmad Starks * 24 2-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Challe Barton 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 4 6 -
Olaf Schaftenaar 18 3-9 3-9 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Langston Morris-Walker 18 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 38 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 9 1 1 3 2 7 -
Shabazz Muhammad * 32 8-14 3-5 2-3 6 1 1 1 2 21 14 -
Travis Wear * 30 6-9 1-1 4-4 7 1 0 0 2 17 14 -
Kyle Anderson * 28 7-9 1-1 2-2 9 3 2 2 2 17 22 -
Jordan Adams * 26 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 2 4 -
David Wear 21 3-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 1 -
Norman Powell 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
Tony Parker 5 1-3 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 2 0 4 3 -

* = starter