Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolonzo Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Mark Nwakamma * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Evan Cooper * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Nate Sikma * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Corban Wroe * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Wes Cole | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Parker U'u | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| John Peterson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamie Schneck | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Aska | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Adrian Satchell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Malik Garner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joey Getz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jarrel Lane | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Wejnert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Wise | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter