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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +15 (62-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lindsay * 33 3-5 2-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 9 6 -
K. Anthony * 31 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 -2 -
G. Robbins * 27 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Nelson-Ododa * 24 2-5 0-0 0-3 3 1 0 3 1 4 5 -
D. Brothers * 24 3-11 1-7 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 12 3 -
D. Taylor 19 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
W. Sparrow 17 2-7 0-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
T. Allen 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
T. Davis 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roosevelt Jones * 37 4-13 0-0 2-3 12 4 3 0 3 10 13 -
Alex Barlow * 33 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 5 10 -
Kellen Dunham * 31 2-11 2-10 5-6 4 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
Andrew Smith * 30 6-9 0-0 3-5 7 3 0 0 0 15 16 -
Khyle Marshall * 18 1-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Kameron Woods 19 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
Chase Stigall 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Erik Fromm 9 2-3 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Andy Smeathers 8 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Jackson Aldridge 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Devontae Morgan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Kampen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter