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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.8% 87.2% - โœ“
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +17.9 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“

Actual: Akron Zips +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Berry * 36 1-3 1-2 0-1 0 5 0 0 2 3 3 -
Majok Majok * 35 10-16 0-0 6-10 13 0 1 0 4 26 20 -
Jauwan Scaife * 32 6-15 3-9 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 17 8 -
Chris Bond * 27 4-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 0 1 10 16 -
Zach Fields * 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 -1 -
Marcus Posley 23 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 4 1 -
Matt Kamieniecki 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tyler Koch 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bo Calhoun 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Abreu * 30 2-4 2-3 5-5 2 7 0 0 3 11 13 -
Demetrius Treadwell * 28 1-6 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 4 7 1 -
Zeke Marshall * 27 5-7 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 3 1 13 17 -
Nick Harney * 26 6-13 1-3 2-3 4 1 2 0 1 15 8 -
Brian Walsh * 20 0-4 0-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
Jake Kretzer 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Ibitayo 17 2-4 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Pat Forsythe 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Carmelo Betancourt 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
Reggie McAdams 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Chauncey Gilliam 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter