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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Old Dominion Monarchs UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Old Dominion Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte Hill * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 3 0 1 3 16 -
DeShawn Painter * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 3 18 27 -
Aaron Bacote * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 4 -
Keenan Palmore * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 9 14 -
Nick Wright * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
Dimitri Batten 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 9 14 -
Richard Ross 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 11 16 -
Stuart McEwen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Craig Ponder * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 13 18 -
Cedrick Williams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 6 1 9 19 -
Freddie Jackson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 4 11 -
Chris Dixon * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 14 16 -
Keith Rendleman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 1 1 14 27 -
Shane Reybold 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 6 -
Luke Hager 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
Tanner Milson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Dylan Sherwood 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
Tyree Graham 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter