Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -32 (43-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Randolph * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Steele * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Devonta Pollard | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Retin Obasohan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Julian Goode | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keon Blackledge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dakota Slaughter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Isiah Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Ware * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Baxter Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter