Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +39 (79-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Max Yon | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Green | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cam Michael | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Moer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe De Ciman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter