Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| K. Reinhardt * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Birch * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Moser * | 18 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones | 28 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Cook | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Goodman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 34 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| X. Thames * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| J. Rahon | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Spencer | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter