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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frankie Sullivan * 48 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 4 26 34 -
Josh Wallace * 47 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 9 1 0 2 6 19 -
Rob Chubb * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 1 5 12 23 -
Allen Payne * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 9 11 -
Shaquille Johnson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
Noel Johnson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 9 13 -
Brian Greene 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
Asauhn Dixon-Tatum 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 10 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Young * 47 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 4 22 29 -
Marshawn Powell * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 3 1 3 28 42 -
Fred Gulley * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Hunter Mickelson * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Rickey Scott * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Coty Clarke 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 2 1 9 22 -
Mardracus Wade 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 12 17 -
Kikko Haydar 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
Rashad Madden 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Michael Qualls 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter