Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Randall * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 26 | - |
| John Simons * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Olivier Mbaigoto * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Austin Keel * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Hibbitts | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Chris Fowler | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Finis Craddock | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Richardson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Austin Stewart | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Spencer Krannitz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 37 | - |
| D. Buckley * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| R. Pearson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 28 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Smith * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R. Holliday | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Lemons | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Wonnell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter