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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.5% 35.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raijon Kelly * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 2 0 2 15 27 -
Will Cook * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 10 -
Tim Williams * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 15 22 -
Connor Miller * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 8 10 -
Clide Geffrard 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 22 25 -
Tyler Hood 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 4 9 -
Russell Wilson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marshall Harris * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 4 0 3 12 23 -
Mike Groselle * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 2 8 19 -
Raemond Robinson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 1 6 -
Stephen Elmore * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 5 11 -
Matt Van Scyoc 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 3 19 25 -
P.J. Horgan 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 11 12 -
Ashton Moore 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Janeil Jenkins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Dylen Setzekorn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter